Impact Study on Truck Tolling Revenue Recycling
On October 4th, the "Multi-Year Program on Revenue Recycling from Truck Tolling 2026-2030" was submitted to the Dutch House of Representatives. As stated by Minister Madlener in his accompanying letter, the Truck Tolling Act requires this program to clarify the extent to which the measures contribute to the sustainability and innovation of the transport sector. For this reason, Panteia conducted an impact study on behalf of the Ministry.
Starting in 2026, a truck toll will be introduced in the Netherlands, with significantly lower rates for emission-free trucks. This measure is expected to encourage the use of zero-emission trucks, thereby helping to reduce CO2 emissions from freight transport. The net revenue from this toll will be reinvested into the Dutch transport sector as subsidies to promote sustainability and innovation.
The multi-year program outlines how this revenue recycling will be structured, including the various subsidies that will be made available. The Panteia report assesses the impacts of this program. The key findings:
- The program leads to a greater adoption of zero-emission vehicles, with an additional 19,600 vehicles.
- It contributes to an emissions reduction, including 3.7 million tons of CO2.
- The program reduces vehicle kilometers by 700 million.
These figures are lower than estimates in the multi-year program. Part of the program’s impacts will only be realized after 2030. Additionally, factors such as limitations in energy grid capacity and uncertainty among businesses regarding the timing of investments introduce some uncertainty to the impact estimates. These factors could affect the pace at which companies transition to zero-emission vehicles.
The report (in Dutch) can be downloaded here.
